"Putin is 70 years old and can stay in power for a long time. "Putin does not want to negotiate, he is happy with war - it helps him maintain his power," Mr Gerashchenko explained. In 2014, Crimea was illegally annexed by Moscow - while Russian-backed separatists were active in the Donbas long before the war.ĭuring the current conflict, Russia has (again illegally) declared Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia as its own. Ukraine was declared independent in 1991 following the collapse of the Soviet Union. It rather means moving on to new lines of contact." One scenario that hasn't been discussed as openly is Ukraine regaining control of the Donbas and its Black Sea territory, and even Crimea, and yet the war rumbles on.Īnton Gerashchenko, a prominent adviser to the Ukrainian government, tweeted last night: "Getting to the borders of Ukraine in 1991 does not necessarily mean neither an end to the war nor a victory. While many analysts have suggested Ukraine may ultimately have to accept some loss of territory to end the conflict, Kyiv has insisted all its borders must be restored. While it was quickly aborted, and Prigozhin was exiled to Belarus, the rebellion weakened Mr Putin's untouchable persona and showed weakness in his leadership.Īt the time, Rosgvardia's leader - and Mr Putin's former bodyguard - Viktor Zolotov said his force performed "excellently" against the rebellious fighters, but the MoD has now said there was "no evidence" it carried out any effective action.
Thousands of mercenaries, led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, launched a "march on Moscow" calling for senior military officials to be removed from their posts due to their work in the war. The decision to strengthen the force of around 200,000 personnel came after Mr Putin's leadership was threatened by a Wagner Group mutiny in June. "The move suggests the Kremlin is doubling down on resourcing Rosgvardia as one of the key organisations to ensure regime security", the MoD said. The Russian president signed a law allowing Rosgvardia to receive more equipment, which could include artillery and attack helicopters, at the end of last week. Vladimir Putin is set to equip the Russian National Guard with heavy weaponry as he looks to strengthen the security of his regime, the UK's Ministry of Defence (MoD) has said.
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